Kilpatrick's views align with those of Ilya Sutskever, OpenAI cofounder and former chief scientist, who has launched a startup named Safe Superintelligence to pursue ASI with a focused approach. While Kilpatrick initially doubted Sutskever's method, he now considers it potentially viable. Despite his openness to a direct path, Kilpatrick remains more supportive of an iterative approach to developing superintelligence. His insights are influential, given his previous role at OpenAI and his current position at Google, where he is seen as a key asset in the AI race.
Key takeaways:
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- Logan Kilpatrick, Google's AI Studio product manager, believes a direct path to artificial superintelligence (ASI) is becoming more probable due to the success of scaling test-time compute.
- Kilpatrick suggests that achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) will resemble a "product release" rather than a significant breakthrough moment.
- Both Google and OpenAI are exploring new AI models with improved reasoning abilities, as pre-training AI has shown signs of plateauing.
- While Kilpatrick is more supportive of an iterative approach to superintelligence, he acknowledges that a "straight shot" approach might also be successful.