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AI could shape future of war, starting with wargaming: experts

Feb 27, 2024 - businessinsider.com
The introduction of generative artificial intelligence (AI) into wargaming could revolutionize how militaries prepare for future wars, according to Yasir Atalan, an associate data fellow at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. AI could help identify weaknesses, opportunities, and challenges in war scenarios, and potentially cut down the number of players needed, speed up games, and produce new strategies. However, AI also has its limitations, such as the inability to perform "strategic reasoning" and the potential to inherit bias and prejudice from the data it's trained on.

The US military has been increasingly focusing on wargaming since 2015, with growing interest in the possibilities of AI. Despite the potential benefits, there are concerns about the "black box" challenge, where the reasoning behind certain outcomes remains unclear. Experts argue that this obscurity, along with potential biases in AI training data and wargame design, highlights the need for ethical governance and accountability in this evolving domain.

Key takeaways:

  • Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to revolutionize military wargaming, a tool used to develop strategy in the event of war, by providing different perspectives and data points.
  • AI could potentially reduce the number of players needed in wargaming, speed up games, and produce new strategies, but it also has limitations, such as not working well if the game's digital infrastructure is restricted or if AI can't interact with the necessary computational models and simulations.
  • There are concerns that AI may obscure explanations for actions in wargaming, leading to faulty conclusions, and that AI could inherit bias and prejudice depending on the Large Language Models it's trained on.
  • Despite the potential of AI in wargaming, humans remain the core of the process, with AI serving as a useful tool in the thought and decision-making processes.
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