Sign up to save tools and stay up to date with the latest in AI
bg
bg
1

AI Might Surpass Humans in All Tasks by 2047

Jan 21, 2024 - digitalinformationworld.com
A study conducted by AI Impacts, in collaboration with the University of Oxford and the University of Bonn, surveyed 2,778 AI experts to assess the likelihood of AI surpassing human performance in various tasks. The study found a 10% chance that AI will outperform humans in all tasks within the next three years, and a 50% chance by 2047 if current trends continue. There is also a 10% chance that all human occupations could be automated by 2037.

The study also revealed that 81% of respondents believe AI will be able to converse like human experts within the next 20 years. Despite these predictions, some experts remain optimistic, suggesting that AI will complement jobs rather than replace them. However, the study indicates that the pessimistic outlook is just as likely as the optimistic one.

Key takeaways:

  • According to a study by AI Impacts, University of Oxford, and University of Bonn, there's a 10% chance that AI will outperform humans in every task within the next three years.
  • If the current trend continues, there's a 50% chance that AI will surpass humans by the year 2047.
  • There's a 10% chance of all human occupations becoming automated by the year 2037.
  • 81% of survey respondents believe that AI will be able to talk like human experts within the next 20 years.
View Full Article

Comments (0)

Be the first to comment!