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AI Predicted by IMF to Lower Labor Demand, Worsen Inequality

Jan 15, 2024 - techtimes.com
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the rise of artificial intelligence (AI) may lead to a decrease in labor demand and exacerbate inequality between countries with different economies. The IMF's managing director, Kristalina Georgieva, stated in a blog post that nearly 40% of jobs could be affected by AI. This is because advanced economies are more likely to experience the benefits and drawbacks of AI sooner than developing countries due to their employment structures being centered on professions requiring significant cognitive processing.

The IMF post also suggests that AI could impact around 60% of occupations in developed nations, potentially increasing productivity in half of these roles. However, the other half may see a decrease in labor demand, leading to lower earnings and fewer jobs. In contrast, AI exposure is expected to be 40% in developing economies and 26% in low-income countries, implying less direct disruption. However, these countries often lack the infrastructure and trained labor to fully utilize AI, increasing the technology's risks. The analysis also indicates that college-educated workers and younger people may be better equipped to adapt to these changes.

Key takeaways:

  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that the boom in artificial intelligence (AI) may lead to a lower demand for labor and increase inequality between countries with different economies.
  • Almost 40% of jobs are expected to be impacted by AI, with advanced economies being more exposed to the advantages and disadvantages of AI due to their employment structures centered on professions requiring a lot of cognitive processing.
  • AI may influence around 60% of occupations in developed nations, potentially increasing productivity in half of the exposed occupations, but also potentially leading to a reduction in labor demand, lower earnings, and fewer jobs.
  • Older workers and those without a college degree may be more susceptible to the AI-driven revolution, while younger, more tech-savvy individuals may be better equipped to take advantage of new opportunities.
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