The author expresses skepticism about OpenAI's potential to achieve Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) within our lifetime or to create significant value for investors once the initial hype fades. They compare the excitement around OpenAI to the crypto craze, where many people jumped on the bandwagon without fully understanding the technology. They also criticize the exploitation of the technology by those trying to cash in on it, such as companies creating AI-powered chatbots or using AI to cheat on school assignments. The author does not believe OpenAI will go bankrupt, but also does not buy into the hype that it will become the next Google or create AGI for everyone. They end by asking what they might be missing in their analysis.
Key takeaways:
The author is skeptical about OpenAI and other companies achieving AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) within our lifetime or creating significant value for investors after the hype fades.
The author compares the excitement around OpenAI to the hype around cryptocurrencies, suggesting that few people truly understand the technology.
The author criticizes those who exploit the newness and low comprehension of the technology for personal gain, such as creating AI-powered chat bots for specific industries or using AI to cheat on school assignments or interviews.
Despite the skepticism, the author does not predict bankruptcy for OpenAI but also does not buy into the hype that it will become the next Google or create AGI for everyone.
