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Bill Gates feels Generative AI has plateaued, says GPT-5 will not be any better

Dec 02, 2023 - indianexpress.com
Bill Gates, in an interview with Handelsblatt, expressed his belief that Generative AI, specifically the GPT series by OpenAI, may have reached a plateau. Despite the significant advancements from GPT-2 to GPT-4, Gates anticipates a stagnation in development and does not expect GPT-5 to be superior to its predecessor. However, he also predicted that the accuracy of AI software will significantly increase in the next two to five years, leading to the creation of new and reliable applications.

Gates sees potential in AI, particularly in healthcare, where it can expedite the development of drugs and vaccines. He also mentioned the importance of understanding how AI encrypts information, referring to it as a milestone. Despite the high costs associated with AI, Gates believes that developing nations will greatly benefit from it. He also highlighted the role of AI in mitigating climate change, stating that he is investing in companies working to improve the power grid with AI.

Key takeaways:

  • Bill Gates believes that Generative AI, specifically the GPT series by OpenAI, has reached a plateau and that GPT-5 will not be significantly better than its predecessor.
  • Despite this, Gates predicts that the accuracy of AI software will increase considerably in the next two to five years, leading to the creation of new and reliable applications.
  • Gates sees significant potential in AI in the short term, particularly in the healthcare sector, where it can aid in the development of drugs and vaccines.
  • He also highlighted the importance of understanding how AI encrypts information, referring to it as a 'black box', and stated that many people are working on deciphering it.
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