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Chip sales are set to soar in 2025 — so long as there isn’t a trade war | Deloitte

Feb 04, 2025 - venturebeat.com
Deloitte's 2025 chip outlook report predicts a significant rise in semiconductor chip sales, driven by generative AI and data center expansions, with sales expected to reach $697 billion. Despite potential trade tensions, the industry aims for a $1 trillion target by 2030, requiring a 7.5% CAGR. The report highlights reshoring efforts in the U.S. with investments from Intel, Globalfoundries, and TSMC, though achieving substantial domestic production will take time. Generative AI chips are a major growth driver, with sales projected to exceed $150 billion in 2025, but the industry faces challenges in wafer capacity and the need for resilient supply chains amid geopolitical tensions.

The report also discusses the growing importance of AI in chip design, emphasizing a "shift left" approach to integrate testing and validation earlier in the process. Generative AI chips are increasingly used in PCs, smartphones, and enterprise edge devices, with a focus on efficiency and performance. Despite the booming AI chip market, other segments like automotive and traditional semiconductors show slower growth. The industry is exploring digital twins and advanced AI capabilities to enhance chip design and production efficiency, while also addressing the global talent shortage and the need for collaboration across the sector.

Key takeaways:

  • Semiconductor chip sales are projected to reach $697 billion in 2025, driven by generative AI and data center expansions, despite potential trade tensions and tariffs.
  • The reshoring of chip production in the U.S. is progressing, with significant investments from companies like Intel, Globalfoundries, and TSMC, aiming to increase U.S. production to around 14% by 2032.
  • Generative AI chips are expected to be a major growth area, with predictions of over $150 billion in sales in 2025, and their integration into PCs, smartphones, and enterprise edge devices is anticipated to drive demand.
  • The chip design process is shifting left, with AI aiding in complex design processes, emphasizing early testing and validation, and fostering collaboration across the industry to enhance efficiency and time-to-market.
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