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Compass wants to use AI to weather the real estate storm. Are you buying it?

Dec 07, 2023 - fastcompany.com
Compass, a real estate firm in the U.S., is attempting to leverage artificial intelligence (AI) to overcome challenges in the housing market. The company's CEO, Robert Reffkin, believes AI can streamline processes for agents and improve efficiency. Despite this, Compass has yet to turn a profit from its AI ventures, with its AI-centric product, Likely to Sell (LTS), contributing less than 1% to the business. The company has also faced criticism from its own brokers, who fear becoming secondary to the business if it transforms into a software company selling marketing and analytics tools.

Despite these challenges, Compass remains committed to its AI strategy. The company recently held a hackathon to develop new AI ideas, resulting in several promising prototypes. However, industry observers remain skeptical about the potential for AI to revolutionize the real estate industry. Compass has achieved greater efficiency gains through traditional methods such as layoffs and cost-cutting, and its biggest bet to grow revenue and improve margins—its own mortgage, title, and escrow services—has little to do with AI.

Key takeaways:

  • Compass, a real estate firm, is trying to address the challenges in the housing market by using artificial intelligence (AI). The company has integrated OpenAI’s ChatGPT-4 capabilities into its platform to make processes more efficient.
  • Despite its focus on AI, Compass has yet to turn a profit from these technologies. In 2022, it lost $601 million on $6 billion in revenue, and its shares have significantly dropped since it went public in April 2021.
  • Compass has spent approximately $1.5 billion on its technology stack and plans to spend $100 million annually on R&D. The company has developed AI-centric products like Likely to Sell (LTS), which uses data to predict who might sell their home in the next 12 months.
  • Despite the company's efforts, industry observers remain skeptical about the potential of AI to revolutionize the real estate industry. The business of selling houses is inherently human and emotional, and it's unclear whether AI can truly generate what Compass needs.
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