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Courtesy of AI: Weather forecasts for the hour, the week, and the century | TechCrunch

Nov 14, 2023 - techcrunch.com
Machine learning models are increasingly being used in weather forecasting, with Google's DeepMind leading the way. The company's "nowcasting" models predict immediate weather conditions, while its MetNet-3 model predicts up to 24 hours in the future. Google DeepMind has also introduced GraphCast, which predicts weather conditions up to 10 days in advance, covering the entire planet at a resolution of .25 degrees longitude/latitude. These models, which are purely data-based, are not intended to replace traditional weather forecasting methods but to complement and improve them.

The Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence (AI2) is also working on the ClimSim project, which uses machine learning to accelerate and improve long-term climate predictions. These models, which are significantly cheaper to perform computationally, view data as an interconnected vector field, allowing them to make predictions based on the relationships between different data points. Despite the challenges of making long-term predictions in a rapidly changing climate, these models are seen as a valuable tool for climate scientists.

Key takeaways:

  • Machine learning models are increasingly being used in weather forecasting, with Google's DeepMind developing models that can predict weather conditions from immediate forecasts to up to 10 days in advance.
  • These models, such as GraphCast, are data-driven and do not rely on understanding the physics of weather phenomena, instead making statistical guesses based on patterns in the data.
  • While these AI models are not intended to replace traditional weather forecasting methods, they can complement and improve current methods due to their computational efficiency and ability to make predictions at a larger scale.
  • The Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence is also working on a project called ClimSim, which aims to use machine learning to improve long-term climate predictions, potentially up to a century in advance.
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