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Energy, Defense Stocks in Focus in Tokyo as Ishiba to Meet Trump

Feb 07, 2025 - financialpost.com
The article discusses the heightened sense of risk and opportunity in Japanese markets as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba prepares for his first meeting with President Donald Trump. Key sectors in focus include defense, energy, and AI-related stocks, with speculation about potential gains. Investors are particularly concerned about the auto sector, which could be affected by discussions on tariffs. The yen is experiencing volatility due to uncertainties around trade and inflation, with Japan's trade surplus with the US being a point of concern. Ishiba, lacking the diplomatic experience of his predecessor Shinzo Abe, aims to reassure Trump that Japan is not manipulating its currency to expand its trade surplus.

The article also highlights the potential impact of the meeting on various market areas. Defense-related companies like Mitsubishi Heavy Industries could benefit from increased military spending or US equipment purchases. AI expenditure, particularly involving companies like Hitachi Ltd., is another focus area. Energy discussions may include shale gas imports and investment in a new gas pipeline in Alaska, which could positively affect electricity stocks and LNG shippers. The auto industry is under scrutiny due to potential tariffs, with Japanese automakers at risk if Trump adopts a hardline stance. The foreign-exchange market is sensitive to any comments on currency devaluation, with the yen's movement closely tied to the meeting's outcomes.

Key takeaways:

  • Japanese markets are focused on defense, energy, and AI-related stocks as Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba prepares to meet President Donald Trump.
  • Japan's trade surplus with the US and potential tariffs are concerns, with Ishiba aiming to explain Japan's currency stance to Trump.
  • Energy discussions may include shale gas imports and investment in a new gas pipeline in Alaska, potentially benefiting electricity stocks.
  • Automakers are under scrutiny due to potential US tariffs, with Japanese carmakers particularly vulnerable.
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