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Generative AI Act Two

Sep 20, 2023 - sequoiacap.com
The article discusses the evolution of generative AI, its current state, and future prospects. It highlights how decades of technological progress have created the necessary conditions for generative AI to flourish, with ChatGPT's rise sparking a wave of innovation. However, the initial excitement has given way to skepticism as products fall short of expectations and user retention remains low. Despite these challenges, generative AI has already had a more successful start than SaaS, with over $1 billion in revenue from startups alone.

The authors argue that generative AI is now entering its second act, focusing on solving human problems end-to-end and creating more comprehensive solutions. They also outline a shared playbook for companies to follow, including emerging reasoning techniques, transfer learning, retrieval-augmented generation, new developer tools, and AI-first infrastructure companies. Despite the current challenges, the authors remain optimistic about the future of generative AI, citing the emergence of killer applications and the magnitude of end-user demand.

Key takeaways:

  • The article discusses the rapid growth and challenges of generative AI, highlighting its potential as a profound platform shift in technology.
  • Despite initial hype and success, generative AI has faced criticism and skepticism, particularly around its actual usefulness and the legitimacy of machine-generated IP.
  • However, the authors argue that generative AI has already had a more successful start than SaaS, with over $1 billion in revenue from startups alone, and applications like ChatGPT, Midjourney, and Character becoming household names.
  • Looking forward, the authors predict a shift from "Act 1" of generative AI, which was technology-out, to "Act 2", which will be customer-back, solving human problems end-to-end and introducing new editing interfaces and multi-modal applications.
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