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Generative AI deals are taking a dive as investors pick their spots

Oct 18, 2023 - qz.com
Generative AI deals fell by 29% in Q3, with total deals valued at $6.1 billion, largely due to Amazon's $4 billion agreement with language model provider Anthropic. Big Tech's dominance in the generative AI space may be discouraging investors and startups, according to Pete Flint, general partner at NFX. Despite this, there is still interest in the sector, particularly in enterprise software-based AI, which can significantly impact revenue and costs for adopting enterprises.

However, the sector requires a long-term commitment, with AI investments predicted to reach $200 billion globally by 2025, according to Goldman Sachs. Bloomberg Intelligence estimates the market size to be $1.3 trillion over the next decade, up from $40 billion in 2022. Despite short-term overstatements, the long-term impact of generative AI is understated and will require time to mature and become accurate and safe, according to Tim Guleri, managing director at Sierra Ventures.

Key takeaways:

  • Generative AI deals dropped 29% in the third quarter from the previous quarter with total deals valued at $6.1 billion, largely thanks to Amazon’s agreement with language model provider Anthropic.
  • Big Tech has dominated the generative AI space, potentially scaring away investors and startups, and even saw a slowdown in dealmaking activities this year.
  • There are opportunities in enterprise and arbitrage AI, with investors showing interest in companies focused on enterprise software-based AI and arbitrage AI relating to financial systems.
  • AI investments are forecasted to reach $200 billion globally by 2025, and enterprises should be ready for a long-term commitment, with a planning horizon of 5 to 7 years.
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