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Google's CEO says there's no AI wall — but progress will get harder

Dec 05, 2024 - businessinsider.com
Google CEO Sundar Pichai has predicted that progress in AI development will slow down and become more challenging by 2025. Speaking at The New York Times' Dealbook summit, Pichai said he doesn't believe AI is hitting a performance wall, but acknowledged that the "hill is steeper" and the "low-hanging fruit is gone". He added that the next wave of AI progress will require technical breakthroughs in reasoning and completing a sequence of actions more reliably.

The issue of whether AI has hit a performance plateau is currently a major topic of debate within the industry. Some industry experts and insiders have identified bottlenecks in feeding models new high-quality data. As a result, companies are exploring new approaches, such as focusing on how models reason. Pichai expressed confidence that there will still be progress in 2025, but acknowledged that deeper breakthroughs will be needed.

Key takeaways:

  • Google CEO Sundar Pichai predicts that progress in AI development will slow down and become more challenging by 2025, despite not believing in the concept of an AI performance wall.
  • Industry insiders are looking for new breakthroughs to overcome current bottlenecks in AI, particularly in feeding models with new high-quality data.
  • Pichai believes that the next wave of AI progress will require significant breakthroughs in reasoning and completing a sequence of actions more reliably.
  • Pichai also challenged Microsoft's criticism of Google's AI leadership, stating that he would welcome a comparison of Google's AI models with Microsoft's at any time.
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