The article also highlights differing definitions of AGI. While some envision it as a tool to enhance productivity and create shared intelligence, others see it as a form of intelligence that can perform any intellectual task a human can. Despite the differing views, there is a consensus that the journey to AGI will be marked by gradual progress rather than a single breakthrough event.
Key takeaways:
- Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is a theoretical AI that can reason like humans, and top researchers believe its development is close, though opinions on how close vary.
- OpenAI CEO Sam Altman believes that major progress towards AGI will be clear by the end of the decade, while former head of AGI readiness at OpenAI, Miles Brundage, predicts some form of AGI in the next few years.
- CEO of Anthropic, Dario Amodei, predicts some form of AGI by 2026, while AI researcher Andrew Ng is more conservative, hoping for AGI in our lifetime but not certain of it.
- Richard Socher, CEO of You.com, predicts AGI in three to five years in terms of job automation, but up to 200 years for AGI that can learn like humans, while Meta's chief AI scientist, Yann LeCun, believes AGI will take years, if not decades, and will be a gradual progress rather than a single event.