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Feature Story
Hot take on OpenAI’s new GPT-4o
May 15, 2024 · garymarcus.substack.com
The author speculates that OpenAI's focus on new features may be due to their inability to produce the kind of capability advance that would align with predictions of "exponential improvement". The author concludes that the absence of a GPT-5 level model from OpenAI or any of their competitors suggests that we may have reached a phase of diminishing returns in this field.
Key takeaways
- The speech synthesis of GPT-4o is impressive, comparable to Google Duplex.
- OpenAI does not have GPT-5 even after 14 months of trying.
- There are still quirky errors being reported in GPT-4o, indicating room for improvement.
- The lack of a GPT-5 level model from OpenAI or any competitors suggests we may have reached a phase of diminishing returns in AI development.