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How investors can avoid a lost decade for stocks whenever the tech bubble pops

Feb 23, 2024 - markets.businessinsider.com
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) has sparked concerns about a potential stock market bubble similar to the dot-com boom of the late 1990s. Nvidia's recent earnings added $267 billion to its market cap, more than Netflix's entire value, leading to fears of an over-concentration in the stock market. Analysts warn that the AI trade, led by the "Magnificent Seven" stocks (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla), which account for roughly 29% of the S&P 500, could lead to a bubble burst.

Richard Bernstein, president of Richard Bernstein Advisors, advises investors to diversify their portfolios to avoid potential losses. He notes that while AI will change the economy, investing in the current leading AI stocks may not prove profitable in the long term. He also highlights a "once in a generation" opportunity in a range of sound investments outside of the largest stocks.

Key takeaways:

  • Concerns are rising over stock-market concentration as the 'Magnificent Seven' tech giants continue to gain, with fears of an AI-driven tech bubble reminiscent of the dot-com boom.
  • Richard Bernstein, the president of Richard Bernstein Advisors, suggests that diversifying portfolios is crucial for investors to avoid losses if the AI bubble bursts.
  • The 'Magnificent Seven' stocks — Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla — account for roughly 29% of the S&P 500, leading to highly speculative and concentrated market leadership.
  • Bernstein emphasizes the difference between 'economy opportunities' and 'investment opportunities', stating that while AI will change the economy, investing in the accepted AI stock today may not prove profitable over the longer-term.
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