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Is it time for the Revenge of the Normies?

Sep 04, 2023 - noahpinion.blog
The article discusses the potential of generative AI and cheap energy to reduce economic inequality by leveling the skills gap. The author argues that while the past few decades have seen a rise in the value of human capital, leading to increased inequality, new technologies like generative AI and cheap, portable energy could reverse this trend. Generative AI, unlike traditional IT, substitutes rather than complements human cognition, benefiting less skilled workers more and acting as an equalizer. Similarly, cheap and portable energy could enable economic activities that average people can easily master, increasing their productivity and wages.

Recent studies have shown that generative AI tools boost the performance of low performers more than high performers, suggesting that they could reduce skills-based inequality. Meanwhile, the decreasing cost and increasing portability of energy, driven by advancements in solar power and batteries, could shift innovation back from "bits" to "atoms", benefiting those in physical labor roles. The author concludes by expressing optimism for a future where the middle and working classes reap the most rewards.

Key takeaways:

  • The author argues that the rise of generative AI and cheap, portable energy could lead to a decrease in skills-based inequality, as these technologies are more accessible and beneficial to average individuals, not just the highly educated or skilled.
  • Generative AI has been found to boost the performance of less skilled individuals more than high performers, acting as an equalizer in various fields, from customer support to law and writing.
  • Cheap and portable energy, driven by advancements in solar power and batteries, could enable a wide range of economic activities that average people can easily master, thus increasing their productivity and wages.
  • The author notes that wage trends and the shrinking college wage premium in recent years may already indicate a shift towards a more egalitarian society, where the middle and working classes reap more rewards.
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