In contrast, Altman suggests that AGI will arrive sooner than expected but will have less impact initially. He argues that the transition from AGI to superintelligence will be gradual, with significant safety concerns arising later. Despite recent tensions between Microsoft and OpenAI, Suleyman views such dynamics as natural in partnerships, noting that both companies operate independently and must adapt to evolving circumstances.
Key takeaways:
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- Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman believes that achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI) could take up to 10 years, contrary to OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's belief that it is possible on current hardware.
- Suleyman distinguishes between AGI and the singularity, emphasizing that AGI is a general-purpose learning system, while the singularity involves exponentially recursive self-improvement.
- Sam Altman has adjusted his expectations for AGI, suggesting it will arrive sooner than most expect but will have less impact initially, with superintelligence being a separate, longer-term concern.
- Suleyman acknowledges the natural tension in the partnership between Microsoft and OpenAI, noting that partnerships evolve and adapt over time.