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More than 40 investors share their top predictions for 2024

Dec 28, 2023 - techcrunch.com
The article discusses the venture capital trends of 2023 and predictions for 2024. In 2023, startups struggled to fundraise, except those in AI or defense, and exits were at their lowest level in years. However, some large companies managed to exit through IPOs. TechCrunch+ surveyed over 40 venture capital investors about their expectations for 2024. The investors agreed that LPs are unlikely to seek liquidity and valuations could still decrease, but disagreed on other potential trends. Some expect a resurgence of exits in 2024, while others predict no significant liquidity until 2025. Opinions were also divided on the future of AI investing.

The investors also shared their deployment strategies for 2024 in the current economic climate. Some are adopting a more selective approach, focusing on capital efficiency, while others see increasing opportunities in secondary markets due to liquidity pressure. Regarding startup valuations, some predict more recapitalizations and down-rounds in 2024, especially for startups with inefficient business models. However, sectors like climate tech are expected to continue seeing valuation premiums. The divide between AI-related deals and others is expected to become more pronounced in 2024.

Key takeaways:

  • The year 2023 was characterized by a great venture divide, with extremes emerging on either side of the spectrum in the startup industry.
  • While most startups struggled to fundraise, those in AI or defense sectors could raise money easily, and despite low exit levels, some top companies managed to exit through IPOs.
  • Investors have differing views on trends for 2024, with some expecting a return of exits and others predicting no meaningful liquidity until 2025. Opinions also vary on the future of AI investing.
  • Investors are adopting different strategies for 2024 based on the current economic climate, with some focusing on new investments, others on secondary markets, and some on seed and Series A opportunities.
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