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Musk's Trump Trade Makes Tesla a Winner With $570 Billion Rally

Dec 21, 2024 - financialpost.com
Tesla Inc. experienced a significant stock rally, becoming one of the S&P 500's best performers for 2024, following Elon Musk's political alignment with President-elect Donald Trump. Despite no fundamental changes at Tesla, Musk's support for Trump and his unofficial role in the administration have been seen as a strategic move, boosting investor confidence. This political connection is perceived to potentially ease regulations, benefiting Tesla's self-driving car ambitions. However, the company's earnings and revenue expectations remain uncertain, with concerns about its market value being based on speculative future developments.

The stock's rise is reminiscent of past rallies, driven by Musk's influence and retail investor enthusiasm. Despite potential regulatory challenges, such as the Trump administration's intent to cut EV subsidies, Tesla's market position could strengthen as smaller competitors face more significant impacts. Analysts highlight the speculative nature of Tesla's valuation, with much of its market cap tied to future prospects rather than current performance. The options market reflects strong investor interest, with Tesla being a top equity options position, indicating continued optimism about Musk's leadership and Tesla's future.

Key takeaways:

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  • Tesla's stock experienced a significant rally, becoming one of the S&P 500 Index's best performers for 2024, largely due to Elon Musk's political support for President-elect Donald Trump.
  • Despite the rally, Tesla's earnings and revenue expectations for the coming years have decreased, raising concerns about the company's market value being built on uncertain prospects.
  • Investors are optimistic about Tesla's future, betting on Musk's influence in Washington and potential regulatory easing, despite the risks of reduced federal subsidies for EVs.
  • Tesla's stock remains a favorite among derivatives traders, with a significant presence in the options market, driven by Musk's role in the Trump administration and investor enthusiasm.
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