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Nvidia earnings: Traders see 8% swing after 3rd-quarter results

Nov 20, 2024 - markets.businessinsider.com
Nvidia investors are bracing for a potential 8% swing in the company's stock value following its earnings report, according to Bloomberg data. This could result in a $300 billion change in market value. The company's future guidance for Blackwell, its next-generation AI chip, will be closely watched. Nvidia, the world's largest company by market cap, is expected to report $33 billion in Q3 revenue, an 83% increase YoY.

However, some analysts are concerned that Nvidia's stock could fall even if it beats earnings due to high investor expectations. This happened after its last quarterly report, which saw a brief sell-off despite strong results. Clark Bellin, CIO of Bellwether Wealth, advised investors not to establish a position in Nvidia when the stock is near record highs, suggesting it may be best to wait for a pullback.

Key takeaways:

  • Nvidia investors are expecting volatile moves in the stock after the company reports earnings, with markets pricing in an 8% stock swing, which would imply a $300 billion gain or loss in market value.
  • Investors are particularly interested in the firm's guidance for Blackwell, its next-generation AI chip, with Wall Street looking for clues on how strong demand will be for its next-gen GPU.
  • Strategists from Wedbush Securities predict that Nvidia could be on track to beat its earnings revenue by $2 billion, and the company could reach a $4 trillion valuation or higher in 2025.
  • Despite the positive outlook, some forecasters are concerned that Nvidia's stock could drop even if the company beats earnings, due to investors' high expectations.
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