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Options Traders Line Up Hedges Before Pivotal Nvidia Earnings

Feb 24, 2025 - financialpost.com
Before Nvidia Corp.'s earnings announcement, options traders were preparing for potential market volatility, as evidenced by a significant increase in VIX call options. Nvidia, which has seen its stock price triple since October 2023 due to optimism in the AI sector, is now a major player in the S&P 500, making the market sensitive to its stock movements. Traders are anticipating a 7.7% move in Nvidia shares post-earnings, which could influence broader market volatility, particularly in AI-related stocks. The market is also on edge due to other potential catalysts, including upcoming US jobs data and the expiration of tariffs.

The article highlights that while Nvidia's earnings could trigger market swings, other factors such as US tariffs and government shutdown deadlines could also contribute to increased volatility. Hedge funds have been betting on market calm, but the current environment suggests a potential shift. The correlation among the largest S&P 500 companies is low, indicating that individual stock movements are more pronounced than macroeconomic influences. Overall, the market is bracing for a period of heightened volatility driven by Nvidia's performance and other geopolitical and economic events.

Key takeaways:

  • Options traders are preparing for potential market volatility ahead of Nvidia's earnings report, with a significant increase in VIX call options.
  • Nvidia's stock has surged due to optimism in the AI sector, making it a major influence on the S&P 500's movements.
  • Hedge funds have been betting on market calm, but upcoming events like tariff expirations and US jobs data could trigger volatility.
  • Any surprises in Nvidia's earnings could impact AI-related stocks and broader market volatility.
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