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Ransomware is 35 years old and now a billion-dollar problem. Here's how it could evolve

Dec 30, 2024 - cnbc.com
Ransomware, a form of malware that locks files and demands payment for their release, has evolved significantly since its inception in the 1980s. Initially emerging with the "AIDs Trojan," ransomware has grown into a billion-dollar industry, with cybercriminals extorting $1 billion in cryptocurrency payments in 2023 alone. The evolution of ransomware has been marked by the adoption of cryptocurrencies for anonymous payments and the rise of ransomware-as-a-service, where developers sell ransomware tools to less experienced hackers. As technology advances, experts predict that ransomware will continue to evolve, with cloud systems and AI playing significant roles in future attacks.

Looking ahead, ransomware is expected to become even more sophisticated, potentially targeting cloud systems and leveraging AI to lower the barrier for entry for cybercriminals. Geopolitical factors may also influence the use of ransomware as a tool for nation-state attacks. Despite these advancements, the fundamental technology behind ransomware is not expected to change drastically, with ransomware-as-a-service models likely to expand. Experts emphasize the importance of using AI and other advanced tools in cybersecurity defenses to counteract the evolving threats posed by ransomware.

Key takeaways:

  • Ransomware has evolved significantly since its inception in the 1980s, becoming a billion-dollar industry with cybercriminals extorting $1 billion in cryptocurrency payments in 2023.
  • The first known ransomware attack occurred in 1989 with the "AIDs Trojan," and since then, ransomware has developed to include methods like phishing and cryptocurrency payments.
  • Experts predict that ransomware will continue to evolve, with AI and cloud systems being potential targets, and ransomware-as-a-service becoming more prevalent.
  • Geopolitics is expected to influence the future of ransomware, with nation-states potentially using it as a geopolitical weapon, blurring the lines between criminal and state-sponsored attacks.
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