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Reliance Industries Target Cut By Morgan Stanley; New Energy And Al Business 'Remains Underappreciated'

Jan 22, 2025 - ndtvprofit.com
Morgan Stanley has retained an 'overweight' rating on Reliance Industries Ltd. but lowered the target price from Rs 1,662 to Rs 1,606 per share. Despite the target cut, the brokerage remains optimistic about Reliance's new energy and AI infrastructure business, which it believes is underappreciated and will become a significant earnings driver. The company is transitioning into a new energy firm to support AI and provide infrastructure for India's tech era. Morgan Stanley anticipates a 15% CAGR in earnings growth from fiscal 2025-27, driven by new energy investments and cost reductions. Reliance's Q3 FY25 consolidated Ebitda rose 12% QoQ and 8% YoY, surpassing brokerage estimates by 4%.

Reliance Industries reported a 4% sequential increase in revenue to Rs 2.39 lakh crore for the quarter ending December 31, 2024, with net profit rising 12% sequentially. The company's retail sales rebounded, and Jio Infocomm saw net subscriber additions, bolstering earnings growth visibility. Despite a 3.62% decline over the past year, RIL's stock rose 0.72% to Rs 1,282.9 on the NSE, outperforming the Nifty 50's 0.28% advance. The stock's relative strength index stood at 55, with 35 out of 39 analysts recommending a 'buy.' The average 12-month analyst price target suggests a 20% potential upside.

Key takeaways:

  • Morgan Stanley retained an 'overweight' rating on Reliance Industries but lowered the target price to Rs 1,606 from Rs 1,662.
  • Reliance Industries' Q3 FY25 consolidated Ebitda increased by 12% QoQ and 8% YoY, surpassing brokerage estimates by 4%.
  • The company is focusing on new energy and AI infrastructure, which Morgan Stanley believes is underappreciated and will drive future earnings.
  • Reliance Industries' stock has declined 3.62% over the last 12 months, but analysts see a potential upside of 20% based on 12-month price targets.
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