Looking ahead, Charriere foresees a significant productivity boost for software engineers, leading to the commoditization of code and an increased emphasis on product sense, taste, and design. He also predicts a shift towards open-source models and AI running on edge devices, the disappearance of some major companies, and the rise of smaller, leaner startups. He expresses skepticism about the success of AI-first hardware separate from smartphones, and concludes with an optimistic outlook on the transformative potential of AI in 2024.
Key takeaways:
- The author predicts a significant increase in productivity for software engineers due to advancements in AI, leading to the commoditization of code.
- As software becomes commoditized, the author believes that product sense, taste, and design will emerge as key skills, increasing the importance of roles such as UI/UX designers and product managers.
- The author predicts that by the end of 2024, most people will regularly use products running AI models directly on their devices, and companies like Apple and Amazon will become major players in the AI space.
- The author also anticipates that AI will disrupt the software industry, leading to leaner companies and a higher failure rate among startups, but ultimately benefiting consumers with more choices and better products.