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Stock market outlook: Biggest stocks are a ticket into 'purgatory'

Feb 27, 2024 - markets.businessinsider.com
Bill Smead, a 40-year market veteran and founder of Smead Capital Management, has warned that the current enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI) stocks could lead to a significant market correction. He compared the situation to previous market bubbles, such as the dot-com bubble of the 2000s and the dominance of the Nifty Fifty stocks in the 60s and 70s, both of which ended in significant market crashes. Smead suggested that the most popular stocks could lose up to 70% of their value.

Smead's warnings come as investors continue to invest heavily in the so-called Magnificent Seven stocks and drive the S&P 500 to record highs. He cautioned that the belief that "this time is different" often precedes a major market correction. He also drew parallels between the current market situation and the overconfidence preceding the dot-com bubble burst, warning that even if the market isn't as overpriced as it was then, a significant fallout could still occur.

Key takeaways:

  • Investing in the market's biggest stocks could be a big mistake, according to investing veteran Bill Smead.
  • Smead draws comparisons between the current AI mania and the dot-com bubble of the 2000s, suggesting a similar downfall could occur.
  • He warns that the most popular stocks on the market could plunge as much as 70% in value over the coming years.
  • Smead suggests that the current market situation is similar to previous bubbles, and that investors' belief that 'this time it's different' is a common precursor to a major market correction.
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