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Stock market outlook: Dow 100,000 on interest rate cuts, earnings growth

Jun 17, 2024 - markets.businessinsider.com
Main Street Research CIO James Demmert predicts that the Dow Jones will rise above 100,000 within the next decade, driven by interest rate cuts and continued earnings growth. He suggests investors should overweight technology stocks due to the ongoing AI boom. Demmert's forecast represents a potential upside of 160% from the index's current levels and he also sees the S&P 500 rising to 6,000 by the end of the year, a potential upside of about 10% from current levels.

Demmert believes that the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate cuts and strong earnings growth will serve as a "turbo booster" for stock prices. He also highlighted that trillions of dollars of cash on the sidelines should make its way into the stock market over the next six months as interest rates drop. He recommends investors to position their portfolios in technology, telecom, healthcare, financials, industrials, energy, and materials sectors to benefit from a potential multi-year bull market.

Key takeaways:

  • Main Street Research CIO James Demmert predicts that interest rate cuts and continued earnings growth will power the Dow Jones to above 100,000 within the next decade.
  • Demmert suggests investors should overweight technology stocks due to a continued AI boom.
  • He sees the S&P 500 rising to 6,000 by the end of the year, representing potential upside of about 10% from current levels.
  • Demmert believes that trillions of dollars of cash on the sidelines will make its way into the stock market over the next six months as interest rates drop and some investors start to feel "FOMO" after missing out on the stock market's ongoing march to record highs.
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