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The US economy is in for 'higher for longer' inflation and rates

Nov 14, 2024 - businessinsider.com
Michael Landsberg, CIO at Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management, predicts a re-acceleration of inflation for the rest of 2024 into 2025, contrary to Wall Street strategists' expectations of inflation cooling down. He points to rising Chinese shipping rates, high prices of commodities, and everyday necessities as indicators of inflation. Landsberg also expects the Federal Reserve to pause rate cuts in December and warns that inflation could rise to 3% as early as January and hit a mid-3% level in 2025.

Landsberg advises investors to focus on rebalancing and diversifying their portfolios to protect against inflation. He warns against overexposure to a specific investment theme and recommends diversification across themes, not just sectors. He suggests investing in high-quality companies with pricing power and earnings growth and identifies energy, financials, and gold as inflation-benefitting trades.

Key takeaways:

  • Michael Landsberg, chief investment officer at Landsberg Bennett Private Wealth Management, expects a re-acceleration of inflation for the rest of 2024 into 2025, potentially rising to 3% as early as January and hitting a mid-3% level in 2025.
  • High shipping rates from China and rising daily living expenses like food prices, rents, and insurance prices are indicators that inflation could be worse than expected.
  • Landsberg advises investors to focus on rebalancing and diversifying their portfolios, not just on sectors but also on themes, to protect against inflation.
  • He suggests investing in inflation-benefitting trades such as energy, financials, and gold, and in high-quality companies with pricing power and earnings growth.
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