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The US Navy needs drone aircraft carriers: RAND think tank

Jan 25, 2025 - businessinsider.com
Analysts at the RAND Corporation suggest that the US Navy should consider deploying drone aircraft carriers to supplement traditional supercarriers. These drone carriers, which would incorporate robots and AI alongside human sailors, offer a cost-effective way to disperse combat power and alleviate strategic challenges. They could operate alongside traditional carriers or even serve as the centerpiece of a carrier strike group, increasing sortie rates and distributing lethality. The potential advantages include reduced crew sizes, minimized personnel costs, and the ability to repurpose spaces for weapons or fuel instead of human needs. However, challenges such as reliable communication, bandwidth requirements, and the current limitations of AI in unpredictable combat situations remain significant obstacles.

The RAND report highlights the strategic benefits of drone carriers, such as increased redundancy and the ability to sustain operations with fewer, less costly vessels. It also envisions unmanned surface vessels (USVs) as part of future strike groups, carrying sensors and weapons directed by crewed ships. Despite the potential, the technological and institutional hurdles of integrating AI and robotics into naval operations mean that fully autonomous systems may remain a distant prospect. The report emphasizes the need for secure communications and institutional trust in AI, which could take years to develop.

Key takeaways:

  • RAND Corp. analysts suggest the US Navy should consider deploying drone aircraft carriers to enhance combat power at a lower cost and with fewer crew members.
  • Drone carriers could operate alongside traditional carriers, potentially increasing sortie rates and serving as the centerpiece of a carrier strike group.
  • Automated systems on drone carriers could reduce crew size and costs, but challenges remain in ensuring reliable communication and AI capabilities in combat situations.
  • While there are potential advantages, significant technological and institutional hurdles must be overcome before widespread adoption of drone carriers and unmanned vessels.
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