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The Year Ahead: Promise For Quantum Growth

Jan 17, 2025 - forbes.com
The article discusses the anticipated developments in quantum technology for 2025, highlighting several key trends. Firstly, there is a shift from focusing on qubit count to improving error correction and fault-tolerant quantum computers, with AI playing a supportive role in this transition. The timeline for achieving a cryptographically relevant quantum computer (CRQC) has been adjusted from 2025 to 2030, providing more time for security professionals to prepare their post-quantum security strategies. The release of post-quantum cryptography (PQC) algorithms by NIST is expected to drive global development in quantum-safe encryption, while also boosting support for quantum-key distribution (QKD) technologies, particularly in North America.

On the business front, 2025 is predicted to see increased activity among quantum startups, with IonQ leading the charge in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to advance towards CRQC development. The article anticipates more acquisitions, mergers, and joint ventures, especially in Europe, as companies aim to secure a competitive market position. Overall, while technical advancements in quantum technology will continue, 2025 is expected to mark the beginning of business maturity in the quantum sector.

Key takeaways:

  • Focus in quantum computing is shifting from qubit count to error correction and fault-tolerant systems, with AI playing a supportive role.
  • Expectations for cryptographically relevant quantum computers have been adjusted to 2030, allowing more time for post-quantum security strategies.
  • The release of post-quantum cryptography algorithms by NIST will drive global development of quantum-safe encryption and support for quantum-key distribution technologies.
  • 2025 will see increased business activity in the quantum sector, including mergers and acquisitions, as companies seek competitive positions in the evolving quantum landscape.
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