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Top Wall Street brokerages start Reddit coverage but remain doubtful

Apr 17, 2024 - fastcompany.com
Top Wall Street brokerages, including Goldman Sachs and J.P.Morgan, have initiated coverage of Reddit with a neutral rating, expressing concerns over its user growth while remaining optimistic about its ad revenue and use of AI. The brokerages, which helped Reddit prepare for its IPO, set price targets of $40 and $47 respectively, with Morgan Stanley setting an equal-weight rating and a $45 price target. Despite Reddit's daily active unique users (DAUq) growth accelerating recently, analysts believe the company's current user base of 73 million is relatively small compared to peers like Facebook and Elon Musk's X.

Reddit, which relies heavily on advertising for revenue, was also touted for its potential growth in AI during its IPO. However, analysts believe the company needs to prove it can scale over time. While some brokerages like Deutsche Bank, Raymond James, Needham, Piper Sandler, and Roth MKM are bullish on the stock, others are waiting for evidence of outsized user growth and faster execution. Reddit's popularity surged during the 2021 "meme-stock" saga, but concerns remain over the company's ability to turn a profit.

Key takeaways:

  • Top Wall Street brokerages have expressed doubts over Reddit's user growth, despite being bullish on its ad revenue and use of artificial intelligence.
  • Goldman Sachs and J.P.Morgan began with a “neutral” rating and a price target of $40 and $47, respectively, while Morgan Stanley had an “equal-weight” rating and a $45 price target.
  • Reddit's user base of 73 million is considered relatively sub-scale, with estimates suggesting it will reach 109 million users by 2026, still lagging behind peers like Facebook and Elon Musk’s X.
  • Despite relying heavily on advertising for revenue, Reddit touted AI in its IPO as an area of growth, with its large corpus of user-generated text content being seen as increasingly valuable to AI models.
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