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Why Nvidia's earnings are important to the entire U.S. stock market

Feb 25, 2025 - financialpost.com
Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is crucial for the U.S. stock market as the company, now the second-largest on Wall Street, significantly influences the S&P 500 index. Analysts expect Nvidia to report fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 85 cents per share on $38.08 billion in revenue. The company's net income is projected to reach $19.58 billion. Nvidia's growth, driven by its AI chip Blackwell, has been a major factor in the S&P 500's recent records, despite economic concerns like high inflation and tariffs. However, competition from Chinese company DeepSeek, which claims to train AI models more cost-effectively using Nvidia chips, briefly impacted Nvidia's market value.

Nvidia's success in AI applications stems from its early bet on GPU technology, which revolutionized computer graphics and the PC gaming market. The company's performance is critical for investors, especially those holding S&P 500 index funds, as Nvidia accounted for over a fifth of the index's total return last year. The upcoming earnings report will be the first since DeepSeek's announcement, and Nvidia has acknowledged DeepSeek's advancements as compliant with export controls. Nvidia's quarterly earnings will be released after the market closes on Wednesday.

Key takeaways:

  • Nvidia's earnings are crucial for the U.S. stock market as it is the second-largest company on Wall Street, significantly impacting the S&P 500 and other indexes.
  • Wall Street expects Nvidia to report fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 85 cents per share on revenue of $38.08 billion, with a net income of $19.58 billion.
  • Nvidia's stock movement is vital due to its substantial contribution to the S&P 500 index's total return, accounting for more than a fifth of it last year.
  • The company's quarterly earnings report follows a challenge from Chinese company DeepSeek, which claims to have developed a competitive AI model using fewer resources.
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