The author's prediction is based on their experience and past accurate predictions about AI. They previously identified problems with deep learning, accurately predicted the limitations of GPT-4, warned that GenAI could be a dud, and made accurate predictions about the development of AI this year. The author believes that the current situation with GenAI is unsustainable and that a significant shift is imminent.
Key takeaways:
- The author predicts the collapse of the Generative AI bubble, possibly within days or weeks, not months.
- Generative AI, as we know it, doesn't work as well as it's hyped up to be, and may never do so.
- While Generative AI itself won't disappear, investor enthusiasm may diminish, leading to financial losses and potentially causing companies valued at billions to fold or be stripped for parts.
- The author has a track record of accurate predictions about the limitations and problems of deep learning and Generative AI, lending credibility to his current prediction.